tld i am not predicting when chelsea go out.the CL is a lottery at knock out stage and as such very unpredictable,who would have thought porto and liverpool would win it recently and arsenal in the final last year.in august lyon would not have been in the top ten to win it ,now they are some peoples favourite.
no team imo can plan to win the CL ,you simply wait for the draw and play the games with the players you have available on the day.i simply feel that chelseas priorty this season is to win the CL and if they dont that means failure ,and following failure someone is usually for the chop.
i would not call myself a gambling man.at the first knock out stage when liverpool won it for the fifth time you could have had liverpool at 66/1 and i did not bet on them until the final and even that wasnt to win it in 90 minutes, i went outright.if i was forced to go for a winner now i would go real madrid at 12/1 but when they make the draw on friday if real get say chelsea and also the second leg at stamford bridge they could go out to 20/1.so the whole thing is a lottery.
i usually bet fairly small sums on what i consider to be certs and probably win or lose £500 max in a season